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Market Commentary

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October ICE Sugar Futures: Trading Idea July 21, 2014

October ICE Sugar Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness

See on the daily bar chart for October sugar futures that prices are in a steep downtrend and last week hit a five-month low. The bears are in firm near-term technical control. A move in prices below solid chart support at last week’s low of 16.87 cents would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 15.90 cents or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a protective buy stop just above, i...

Jul 22, 2014
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October ICE Sugar Futures: Trading Idea July 22, 2014

October ICE sugar futures a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

 

See on the daily bar chart for October sugar futures that prices are in a steep downtrend and last week hit a five-month low. The bears are in firm near-term technical control. A move in prices below solid chart support at last week’s low of 16.87 cents would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 15.90 cents or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a protective buy stop just above...

Jul 22, 2014
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QE Ends This October – What Does That Mean?

First off, it appears the market is making up for the relatively low down-day yesterday. All indices are in the green and the VIX is rolling back, again. Gold is lower and the Russell 2000 is sporting a 1% gain. As well, the market finish yesterday demonstrated, again, that the buyers are still in the game, even if some trepidation remains.  

  • The bears can't be happy that the economy is growing at a decent clip, earnings are at all-time highs, interest rates remain low, and inflation is not a...
Jul 22, 2014
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Earnings Play: Juniper Set To Report Tuesday

Juniper Networks Inc. shares traded as high as $25.09 pre-market on Tuesday morning.  Headquartered in Sunnyvale, CA, Juniper manufactures networking equipment including routers and security products, and employs nearly 10,000 people.  JNPR shares are up nearly 9% year to date 2014, having managed to outperform the broader market.

Earnings Report

Juniper is scheduled to report earnings after the close of Tuesday’s trading session, with analysts projecting $0.38 EPS on $1.22 billion of revenu...

Jul 22, 2014
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Conquer Emotions: Layer In Positions

A big part of being successful in the stock market, is controlling your emotions. Your emotions will have you making the wrong decisions 99% of the time.  If you think about it, have you ever made a good decision when you were emotional? I am talking life in general, not just trading.

Key Driver: Fear

In the stock market, there is only one emotion and that is fear. Every decision you make is because of fear. When a trade is going against you, you get out because you are fearing you will lose ...

Jul 22, 2014
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Forex Tips: When Trading Discipline Goes Too Far

“Stick to your trading plan” is what we hear said all the time and I’ve been known to say it too.  Although that may be the best thing to do, if your trading plan is ok, there’s the odd time that crops up that makes you question it.

Being a dedicated forex trader I’ve done some serious screen time.  Eyes locked furiously on the charts waiting for my setups, mesmerized by the ebb and flow of the markets.

While going about my normal trading day, there have been several instances where the radical...

Jul 22, 2014
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Rehypothecation, Has The Goose Stopped Laying “Gold”en Eggs?

The practice of rehypothecation is centuries old. It has been used to create “free” money supply and in recent times the Chinese have become rather fond of commodity funding deals in an attempt to leverage deals and grow their economy.

The model works, at least in theory, and while all is well one can extend the daisy chain, seemingly for ever…

The universe provides infinitely after all, doesn’t it? This is basic pop quantum physics. The difficulty arises in the very moment a link weakens an...

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Technical Analysis: Using Multiple Timeframes

The objective of any trading strategy is to identify trading entries with a high positive predictive value: i.e. the sensitivity and specificity of the order are likely to be successful close to 90% of the time.

Getting Started

In order to achieve this —the market must be defined or broken down into two separate energies: 1) price action or market structure and 2) indicator analysis. Both parameters provide separate information that must be integrated in order to evaluate the predictive value...

Jul 17, 2014
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India’s Impure Gold, Short Squeeze To $5,000

The India Times recently reported that the Reserve Bank of India is planning to ship impure gold to the Bank of England to swap it for pure gold that can be traded as London pure bars.

If the objective is to exchange impure for pure bars that is very easily done. Any major refiner would be happy to smelt the gold, test it for impurities, remove the impurities, and then recast the gold at the purity India desires. The gold could then be shipped back to India, instead of being stored at the Ban...

Jul 14, 2014
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IPO Watch: Does TubeMogul Have What It Takes?

Following in the footsteps of Rocket Fuel, Criteo , and YuMe , TubeMogul is set to become the latest digital advertising company to go public over the past several months. Like its peers before it, TUBE is growing its topline rapidly as its client base expands and as it generates more revenue per client.

Also like FUEL and YUME at the time of their IPOs, the company is bleeding red ink as it readies to go public. The encouraging news, however, is that its loss in 1Q14 was very narrow and its...

Jul 10, 2014
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