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Market Commentary

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All The News All The Time, Sheesh!

“All the news, all the time” is a tagline for more than one news outlet, and in this, the ubiquitous 24-hour news cycle world, it is appropriate.

Do you ever get the feeling that there is too much news, though? Let me clarify. There can never be too much news, meaning, legitimate news that informs, educates, and, yes, entertains, but what we can get too much of is repetition, opinion, and outright manipulation that passes for what we all call “news.”  

  • Ireland and Spain, which have been throu...
Mar 4, 2015
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Soybean Game Plan

There is a lot happening in the soybean market.  Thursday’s export sales report showed 459-thousand metric tons of soybeans were sold last week.  That is down 9% from the week prior and 26% under the four week average.  Key US soybean buyer, China, was in for 272-thousand of the total compared to the two weeks prior of 208 and 613.  We had decreases of 65-thousand and 146-thousand to unknown destinations, probably China. 

Export sales are now 95% of the expected USDA projection for the market...

Mar 4, 2015
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Soybean Game Plan

There is a lot happening in the soybean market.  Thursday’s export sales report showed 459-thousand metric tons of soybeans were sold last week.  That is down 9% from the week prior and 26% under the four week average.  Key US soybean buyer, China, was in for 272-thousand of the total compared to the two weeks prior of 208 and 613.  We had decreases of 65-thousand and 146-thousand to unknown destinations, probably China. 

Export sales are now 95% of the expected USDA projection for the market...

Mar 4, 2015
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The Art Of Keeping A Good Trade Alive

If you take a trade, and it does not work the math is easy; you stop out. But what if you have a winning trade? What now? Here is where the mastery begins.

Even though there are a lot of different trailing styles and techniques, in reality, there is only one that is highly efficient and you get the most out of it. This one is based on support and resistance and a price pivot trail. 

In the world of trading, no two trades move the same. In general, and theoretically, once a trade triggers, you...

Mar 4, 2015
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Corporate Debt, A Market Play?

Today Actavis issued $21 billion in bonds, the second biggest bond deal ever.  Given low interest rates globally, it makes sense for companies to issue debt.  However, according to research from Goldman Sachs , corporations have been the largest buyers of their own stock.  For example, in 2014 Goldman estimates $415B of net inflows into equities from corporates. 

It's interesting to consider corporate stock buybacks in the context the Federal Reserve's Z.1 Flow of Funds accounts.  First, let...

Mar 4, 2015
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Featured Stories

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The Truth About Live Futures Trading Rooms

The Global Futures Trade Room Industry

Right now – today - the global futures trade room industry is massive and growing at a rate of about 60 new rooms/yr.

When I started to evaluate futures trade rooms in 2009, finding the most successful rooms was an intractable problem – there weren’t any established guidelines, rooms could not be distinguished using search engine parameters, and all glittered with success and wealth. Free room trials were still the best option, but to accelerate data c...

Mar 4, 2015
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What You Must Know About Inter-Market Relationships (Part 2 of 2)

Last month, we initiated the discussion of inter-market relationships focusing on the currency market’s influence over commodity prices .   Let’s turn our attention to the relationships that exist between various asset classes. Some of the conclusions from data will likely go against conventional wisdom. 

Stocks and Bonds Can Go up and Down Together

The oldest adage in the finance industry is, “Stocks up, bonds down”.  The quip stems from conventional theory suggesting there are two primary i...

Mar 2, 2015
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Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Believe it or not, it was illegal, until very recently, for you to unlock your smartphone and take it from one carrier to another.

Yes, illegal in the traditional sense. Thanks to a quirky interpretation of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act , those who unlocked their phones, even as recently as a year ago could wind up behind bars for an unfathomable five years. That’s a long time for something as innocuous as using your property the way you want to use it.

But in 2014, President Barack Ob...

Feb 24, 2015
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Options Trading Strategies: Lessen Volatility In Your Portfolio

Random price movements leave us with very little edge when it comes to reading the charts and technicals.  Never mind fundamental analysis, which is simply impossible to explain how stock can move violently after a news event.  The market is simply designed around accumulation and distribution, seen very clearly on a price and volume chart.  Yet, when these buyers and sellers are pulled in each direction by the market, there is an uneasy feeling about participating.

The erratic behavior in pr...

Feb 23, 2015
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A Dramatic Year – 2015 Financial Collapse?

The European Central Bank recently announced a trillion- dollar package to fight inflation. Whatever these central banks do will not have any effect on the world, short-term.

The ECB program involves printing 60-billion euros per month, which is nearly three-quarters of a trillion euros per annum, and they will start in March 2015 and end in September 2016. Their goal is an inflation target of two percent. The program involves the buying of euro-denominated assets. A bankrupt Europe does not...

Feb 23, 2015
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