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Market Commentary

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Living High on the Hog

The hog market, like many commodities, has been in a downward trend since making major highs last fall. In fact, the recent decline in commodity prices has begun to feed on itself as lower input costs like feed, fuel and fertilizer are leading to lower prices for finished products. When this is combined with tepid economic growth, consumers retreat further fueling the downward spiral that is becoming synonymous with the commodity markets. However, like the grain markets we wrote about last we...

Jun 29, 2015
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Final Rally in the Dollar

DXY gained 1.46% last week to close at 95.65 back above its 34-dma as well as its mid-June reaction high giving hope to the bulls that the final rally is upon us. Despite the bearish seasonality of July, cycles indicate that the Dollar is set for one “last hurrah” prior to a “summer swoon” a month from now.

Cycles target a turn near July 24 and are a good match for the cycle low in TNX expected then. A 40 week cycle low is expected in late Sept but an annual cycle shows a low in Feb and is...

Jun 29, 2015
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Ignore the Noise from Greece and Everything Else

I often talk about the need to focus on markets and the price action, ignoring the noise from the crowd.  Doing will often help you sidestep dangerous advice designed to twist your mind.  We can consider all the excuses or reasons for selling - there are a million of 'em - but at the end of the day it is the market action, the effect and not the cause that will be our guide.  The first step is understanding the technical condition, sentiment and indicators.  These will always point the way.

L...

Jun 29, 2015
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The Tao of Trading

Just as children gradually grow into adulthood by moving through various stages, traders also go through a developmental process. As part of an aspiring trader’s journey, there usually comes a time when one seeks out a mentor. This need arises when a trader realizes that it is impossible to learn trading from a book. Why should that be the case?

We learn a lot from watching others do what we are ready to learn. Infants and small children learn the nuances of physical activity via mirror neuro...

Jun 29, 2015
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SPX: Stand back please...This party could get rough

Last night, while most of us were watching TV, feeding the cat, or raiding the refrigerator, the S&P500 mini-futures dropped 40 points in a matter of minutes. If you held a position open on Friday afternoon at 4:15, it was worth $2,000 less per contract on Sunday at 6:30 p.m.

And there wasn’t anything you could do about it. The loss occurred while the market was closed for the weekend.  By the time the overnight market re-opened the damage was done and you were considerably poorer.

And today...

Jun 29, 2015
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Featured Stories

More Featured Stories
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Creative Visualization For Improved Trading Results

Regular visualization is proven to improve performance by up to 10%. Professional athletes use it to improve performance, yet traders are for the most part unaware how this tool could have a positive impact on their trading results:

At the beginning of this year I started working with a group of professional traders to help them improve their trading performance.  The group was given a novel form of meditation which I developed with the aim to help them get out of their linear minds into a mo...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected.

Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan

Traders coming into the trading day without a game plan put themselves in a pre...

Jun 25, 2015
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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can Capitalize

While you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.

Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our manag...

Jun 22, 2015
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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18.

With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially relativ...

Jun 17, 2015
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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket , a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter.

FREE Option Trades!

People love the idea of f...

Jun 9, 2015
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