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Market Commentary

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Lions, Tigers And Soybeans…Oh My!

With the USDA report unleashing further buying pressure into an already bullish grain complex yesterday, corn, wheat and beans finished with the substantial upside gains and among the largest percentage gainers on the commodity board.

But to be certain, the real opportunity to take long positions in these commodities wasn’t on the report release.  The clear buying opportunity revealed itself last week.

Looking at the charts of each of these grains side-by-side, the volume profile analysis sho...

Jul 1, 2015
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Soybean Rally: Short Term Selling Opportunity

Soybeans look to reverse last week’s trend entering the weekend by going higher rather than lower from Sunday night into Tuesday’s June USDA stocks and seedings report. The five to seven day forecast has three to nine inches of rain across the Midwest. This does two things. First it suggests planting progress slows down and second that crop conditions decline. Tuesday’s final planted acreage report and stocks on hand report estimated 2015 US soybean seeding at 85.1 Mil acres with harvested ac...

Jul 1, 2015
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What Will The Greek Vote Mean For the Euro?

Through the last half of 2014 until March of 2015, the Euro steadily sold off versus the dollar, as the ECB launched QE and European yields cratered.  For example, Spain's ten year note yield went from 2.82% in July to as low as 1.15 at its nadir March.  As has been well publicized, many shorter maturity yields went negative, for example the German two year note fell to negative 28 bps.  The EURUSD was above 135 in July, and fell just under 105 by the middle of March.  In April, 105 was retes...

Jul 1, 2015
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Ask Kase: 10 Year US Treasury Note

“Ask Kase” any question you may have about any actively traded security, and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column .

Will the 10 Year US Treasury Note be Playing “Bass”?

As the 2H2015 commences, fundamental market analysts are lamenting the stock market’s prospects, pointing to low earnings and higher borrowing costs. US Treasury yield spreads are looking positive, which should be, in turn, negative for longer-dated fixed income instruments. So the key question is “wil...

Jul 1, 2015
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US Stocks Jittery In Rumor Driven Trade

Tuesday was a day filled with missed deadlines: Greece defaulted on a payment to the International Monetary Fund; the deadline for a nuclear deal with Iran passed without comment; and Russian and the Ukraine failed to reach agreement on sales of Russia gas, so the Ukraine may have to look elsewhere for heat this winter.

Against that background the S&P 500 mini-futures made an inconclusive consolidation move Tuesday; bounce up at the open, steady decline to just below Monday’s low, and a sligh...

Jul 1, 2015
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Featured Stories

More Featured Stories
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Creative Visualization For Improved Trading Results

Regular visualization is proven to improve performance by up to 10%. Professional athletes use it to improve performance, yet traders are for the most part unaware how this tool could have a positive impact on their trading results:

At the beginning of this year I started working with a group of professional traders to help them improve their trading performance.  The group was given a novel form of meditation which I developed with the aim to help them get out of their linear minds into a mo...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected.

Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan

Traders coming into the trading day without a game plan put themselves in a pre...

Jun 25, 2015
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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can Capitalize

While you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.

Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our manag...

Jun 22, 2015
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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18.

With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially relativ...

Jun 17, 2015
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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket , a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter.

FREE Option Trades!

People love the idea of f...

Jun 9, 2015
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