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Market Commentary

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Noise Reduction Reminder: LISTEN To the Markets

I often find myself repeating this message but the more I do, the more it seems to sink in.  The noise is getting louder out there and it could be quite harmful.  Why is that?  Because the future is so uncertain, and when we have the media, pundits, experts, analysts all claiming they can predict the next move - well, I just have to turn down the volume.  The markets will ALWAYS tell us the next move.  These reminders are always important but more so at this very moment, because so much is co...

Sep 13, 2014
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Market Consolidation and a Coming Catalyst

Constant news in and constant news out. That is the flow of the market. I would like to call it a problem, but if a thing is the norm, and life revolves around it, then how could it be a problem? It is something you just learn to live with. The daily news flow, and the market’s reaction to that flow, is something market players just learn to live with.

The important thing to understand about the daily news flow is that it is ultimately not important in the formation of the overall market mind...

Sep 12, 2014
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December Ice Coffee Futures: Trading Idea September 12, 2014

December ICE Coffee Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness

See on the daily bar chart for December coffee futures that prices have dropped sharply this week and hit a six-week low. A bearish double-top reversal pattern has also formed on the daily bar chart. The bears have quickly gained solid downside technical momentum to suggest still more selling pressure in the near term. A move below technical support at this week’s low of 1.8040 would become a selling opportunity. The do...

Sep 12, 2014
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Scottish Secession: Look For Buying Opportunities On Any Pullbacks

We are officially in uncharted waters.  The biggest macro risk right now for the markets is not the Fed or European Central Bank…or ISIS or even Vladimir Putin.  No, the biggest macro risk is the mood of Scottish voters.

Scotland’s referendum on independence from the UK will be held on September 18.  Up until very recently, the polls of prospective voters consistently predicting that the “no” camp—i.e. Scots that prefer to remain in the UK—would win by a fairly substantial margin.  But a poll...

Sep 12, 2014
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Respect The Risk Management Gods

Every now and then I find traders will go out on the risk curve and take a speculative trade.  

That's a good thing — because as they say in baseball, 'you cannot steal second base with your foot on first.'  However, there are limits, and often I find these traders stretch too far and they soon find themselves wounded - sometimes a devastating blow that is nearly impossible to overcome.  How can you avoid such a calamity?

We must always consider good risk management techniques when trading or...

Sep 12, 2014
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A Game Plan For Trading Stocks In The Fourth Quarter: Window Dressing

Get ready for the most active season in the stock market.
 
The last quarter has the highest trading activity of the year for the stock market and for the market in general.

Here are some of the major events that traders are ready to speculate upon heading into the fourth quarter:

1.    Last earning season of the year – main reason why market will accelerate its action into the year end
2.    Black Friday / Cyber Monday so-called Cornucopia Trading
3.    Christmas Rally
4.    Quarterly Expiration /...

Sep 11, 2014
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Yes, The Market Will Crash: Here's Your Checklist To Prepare For It

With the Dow recently surging past 17,000, the debate is on about whether it is a bubble that is looking for a pinprick or if it is a strong bull market that will power past 18,000 and beyond.

Yes…it could definitely go to 18,000 or 19,000 or more in the short term because the main driver is not a bullish economy…it is the bullish impact of Federal Reserve policy. In other words, this is an artificial bull market that is driven by monetary stimulus. The danger of a pull-back or a sharp correc...

Sep 10, 2014
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Performance Anxiety For Traders: 5 Ways to Overcome It

Performance anxiety for traders is the fear, or persistent phobia which may arise in a trader by the requirement to take a real trade, in real time, with real money whether actually or potentially.

There are many causes of this anxiety which many times leave a new trader with too much fear to really trade. Fear sends them out of the markets to go join the 90% that did not make it. This fear can arise from past losses that were so big and traumatizing that a trader can’t bear the potential of...

Sep 9, 2014
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Create Personalized Charts And Displays with Excel®

In previous articles I have detailed how to use Excel’s data visualization functionality to highlight market information. The data is brought into Excel using Microsoft’s RTD syntax from a market information and trading platform.

The article, Excel Heat Mapping For Market Data Visualization, shows the steps to heat map percent net change and color those markets that were at the extremes of percent change up or down for the day.  A separate article, Use Excel Sparklines For Data Visualization,...

Sep 3, 2014
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5 Reasons To Consider Trading Binary Options

Binary options are becoming more and more popular each day. But are they just a fad, or a serious trading vehicle worth looking into? As a trading coach and trader with more than 15 years experience, I'm always being asked about new markets and new ideas. I must admit that at first I was a bit skeptical about binary options. So I opened a Nadex account and spent a few months evaluating binary options.

In the end I discovered that binary options have merit, and are a perfect complement to the ...

Sep 2, 2014
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