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Market Commentary

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US Stock Analysis: Feta Complete

On Sunday Greeks voted on an economic program that no longer exists, in a referendum which is of questionable legality, using ballots which are not in existence and for which no funding is available. Grexit seems to be a fait accompli.  

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In the meantime, regardless of the Greek vote, US markets will continue to do what they do. The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calls for a low early this week followed by a rally to, roughly, July 15. In addition to Middle Section forecasts which are the heart of t...

Jul 6, 2015
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Psychological Damage Can Be Done To Investors

It is not easy to win over investor sentiment.  Anyone who lost money during the financial crisis can tell you how difficult it was to suddenly trust markets again, and there was the 'flash crash' afterwards that suddenly jolted any built up confidence.  For its part, the Fed has done everything they possibly could to bolster investor confidence, the lifeblood to the markets. On record they have succeeded, but many would question the tactics.  Yet six years in to the bull run many are questio...

Jul 6, 2015
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Trading Psychology: Mirror Mirror

I get a chuckle out of this picture because it clearly depicts one of the more slippery psychological factors that affect our bottom line results as traders: our inability to see ourselves as we really are.  

I have a Peanuts cartoon framed on the wall behind my trading desk that depicts Lucy giving psychiatric advice to Charlie Brown for 7 cents at an outdoor stand. She explains to Charlie that the brain works hard at night in dreams “to help you see yourself as you really are.” In the final...

Jul 6, 2015
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Silver Primed For Short Covering Rally

One of the much talked about but yet to materialize issues regarding the last 6-7 years of economics has been, “At what point will precious metals receive a boost due to inflation?” In spite of Milton Friedman’s inflation being, “always and everywhere,” it has yet to gain any real traction. Yet, in spite of or, perhaps because of, we’ve seen speculative interest in the precious metals wane as a humdrum reality continues to imply neither the disaster of fiat currencies nor the hyperinflation t...

Jul 6, 2015
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Does Greek Vote Matter To US Stocks?

The early indications are that the people of Greece have rejected a proposal from the country’s creditors on a new bailout package. They voted No by a large margin in a referendum Sunday, and the result is now massive confusion about what happens next. More talks with the creditors. Perhaps a new bailout deal. Maybe an exit from the Euro and the European common market. Everything is up in the air.

The question is: Should we – “we” meaning the US equity markets -- care? And the answer is: Not ...

Jul 6, 2015
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Featured Stories

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Creative Visualization For Improved Trading Results

Regular visualization is proven to improve performance by up to 10%. Professional athletes use it to improve performance, yet traders are for the most part unaware how this tool could have a positive impact on their trading results:

At the beginning of this year I started working with a group of professional traders to help them improve their trading performance.  The group was given a novel form of meditation which I developed with the aim to help them get out of their linear minds into a mo...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected.

Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan

Traders coming into the trading day without a game plan put themselves in a pre...

Jun 25, 2015
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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can Capitalize

While you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.

Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our manag...

Jun 22, 2015
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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18.

With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially relativ...

Jun 17, 2015
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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket , a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter.

FREE Option Trades!

People love the idea of f...

Jun 9, 2015
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