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Market Commentary

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I Don’t Have Anything To Say About The Market Today

Every work day, I read the news, watch the market, write what I write, and I generally do it with a dispassionate, objective view. Some days, though, my dispassionate view is challenged, but I get past it. Other days, such as yesterday, I read about an action so cold, I cannot put my compassion away; I cannot look the other way. My objectivity goes out the window and I just want to scream.

The world is full of stupid people willingly killing other willingly stupid people for stupid, unfathoma...

Dec 17, 2014
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Soybean Rally On January Crop Report

Last Thursday’s weekly US export-sales report is a weekly gauge of demand telling us how much of each grain was sold last week for future shipment.  Index and trend following funds use these reports to determine whether the US is over-selling or under-selling grain in the current marketing year. 

The marketing year for US corn and beans is September 1st to August 31st.  To date, 80% of the USDA forecasted export sales of beans have been sold, with nine months remaining in the current marketin...

Dec 17, 2014
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How To Trade A Gap Up

On December 12, 2014, Adobe Systems gapped up on earnings to $74.17.  The stock closed the prior day at $69.74.  Now, the novice trader might think that the stock was moving up too much and therefore he or she should short it, while the experienced trader would want to look long for a bigger move. This is where experience pays off.

Questions To Ask

The first question I ask myself in reviewing premarket gaps is, “Why is it gapping?”  Once I have identified that it is gapping because of solid ...

Dec 17, 2014
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Buy The S&P 500 For Profits In 2015

Recent economic, global and geopolitical events have put traders on edge. A plethora of negative news items have allowed the bulls to box themselves into a corner in the “wall of worry”. The good news is that the S&P 500, the stock market, and US economy are set to surge in 2015. This means that now is a good time to be looking at stocks and getting long the broad market.

Worries plaguing the market include an apparent stall in US manufacturing activity in December, a slight rise in jobless c...

Dec 17, 2014
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March E-Mini Futures: Trading Idea December 17, 2014

March E-Mini S&P Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness

See on the daily bar chart for March e-mini S&P futures that prices have sold off sharply recently, to produce near-term chart damage and to give the bears downside technical momentum to suggest more downside price pressure coming. A move below chart support at Tuesday’s low of 1,961.50 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 1,850.00, or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a pr...

Dec 17, 2014
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Featured Stories

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Holiday Stress and Trading Pressure: How to S.T.O.P. the Torment

The holiday season is here.  It’s time for celebrating and good cheer.  It’s also a time of heightened stress.  For many traders, who already feel lots of stress, the holidays can feel doubly difficult. 

Trading and Holiday Stress

We all know trading stress.  Recent losses and drawdowns can bring on stress.  So can managing a position, especially if it backs up on you.  Even profitable positions can be stressful.  We don’t normally think about profitable trades as stressful, but I have seen m...

Dec 16, 2014
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RSI, Better Price Oscillator Than MACD

Most traders are unaware there are three types of oscillators used for stock analysis. These are based on three different data streams –

  • Price Oscillators that use price and time data,
  • Volume Oscillators that use quantity and time,
  • Hybrid Oscillators that use price, quantity, and time.

There are innumerable price and time indicators and many are oscillators, but one stands out from all the rest – Relative Strength Index . It is not the most popular, but it is the best price oscillator for sho...

Dec 16, 2014
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Trading Fears – Why We Have Them And What To Do About Them

Trading fears are not the sole domain of new traders, actually far from it. Much misunderstood, fear can hit at any time. The real issue about trading fears has to do with bumping up against your thresholds, which can happen at any time.

Growth and Development, Evolutionary Universal Laws

You are growing and changing all the time, for the most part not noticing that it is happening. However, when an evolutionary impulse hits, and you are standing in the way, like most people are, it can get ...

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Planning For Retirement? Plan Again

It's Christmas time. Everyone has been good little boys and girls, working diligently these past 40 years or more, marching toward America's promise, the golden years when one can lay down the work tools and enjoy the comforts of retirement.

A False Promise

The post-war generation – World War II – came back and raised families based on a simple promise –work hard, buy a house, save money, and when old enough, retire, as in stop working. Now, their children are ready to realize that promise an...

Dec 9, 2014
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Estimated Tax Payments, A Primer For Traders

For the majority of Americans, income taxes are collected on a pay-as-you go basis through the automatic withholding on their wages through their employers. However, if you receive substantial income from dividends, interest, business income, and/or capital gains, you should check your estimated tax liability to verify if you need to make estimated tax payments. Failure to pay a required estimated tax installment will subject you to a penalty based on the prevailing IRS interest rate applied ...

Dec 9, 2014
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